Market Update

Australian Resources Conference invitation General - Resolute - Chalice

We would like to invite you to our 19th

AUSTRALIAN RESOURCES CONFERENCE

in Zurich, Hotel Baur au Lac, on the 21st of February 2020

Please find invitation/registration/participating companies under the link:  https://www.schroeder-equities.com/conference/

Registration –  without any charge – is essential

As usual, the companies are inviting, and the attendance is free for investors

2020 is shaping up to be an interesting year.  US brokerage Sanford C.Bernstein states, that resources stocks are at their cheapest vs the wider market in 100 years! We hope to present you with some companies, which should enable you to profit from this theme – covering a wide range of commodities from copper to gold, from gas to battery materials!

Please feel free to pass this invitation on to interested investors and colleagues. A detailed timetable will be forwarded to all registered attendees by mid-February.

Good afternoon,

Equities are getting a bit slower….Europe is currently down a little, while the US are still ahead ….

For the Australian market, some interesting statistics from Livewire: The market returned 20-30% ( like in 2019 ) on 19 occasions since 1900. In 17 of those occurences, this was followed up by another strong rise, averaging 18,5% vs the average return of 13,1%. Are we in for another good year?? In any case - momentum is with us!

China signalled no- or small cuts to subsidies for EV´s this year…

Base metals, especially copper ( which is making an 8-month high ), are stronger today….as gold is down by a few$ in late afternoon.

Resolute - announced 2020 guidance today., which is a bit disappointing. 500.000 oz at AISC of 980 US$/oz. The Mako Mine will produce 160.000oz at 800 US$ , which compares to 675 US$ in AISC last year. Syama especially is a disappointment vs previous, official broker forecasts, which had expected cost to be 20% or so lower…but I think the market never really expected these low costs, as the mine has not proven as yet, that the highly automated sub-level cave is working properly. There are some concerns as to whether the company needs to raise some money….But according to the Australian press today, ERM, the resources private equity fund, might well come to their “rescue”. The AFR reports about a 300 mill A$ sale of the Ravenswood Mine to them - which wuld be a fantastic price ( I sincerely doubt this price!! ). Even 150 mill A$ I guess would be welcome by the market, and would alleviate capital raising concerns, as Ravenswood has produced very little or no cash in 2019.

Chalice - the share price has improved considerably ove rthe last 4 weeks, and continues to profit from interest in Victorian golds, following the unbelievable success of Kirkland Gold with their Fosterville mine. The company is curently drilling a large anomaly, under substantial cover. Drilling is succesfully deliniating very low grade intersections, which according to the theory, are indicative for a potentially large resource underneath. The company is sitting on a lot of cash, but I would certainly like to see a few hits with real grades to underpin the market cap. But without any doubt - the potential price is rich, and in so far, the share price makes sense, even though it´s taking some success in it´s stride already. One to watch for now.

Evolution - donates 3 mill A$ to bushfire-related charities. A lot of money for the size of the company - but rathet to see it negatively, I think it´s a good example for many otehr mining companies. In the end, mining is relying on country people within remote locations, which currently can do with all the help they can get! The bushires seem to slow down a little - some more favourable wheather this week could bring more relief.

Have a nice evening!

WS

Schröder Equities GmbH

Seitzstr.7a

80538 München

Tel. +49-89-4613440-0

Fax +49-89-4613440-10

email: wschroeder@schroeder-equities.com

website: www.schroeder-equities.com

 

eingetragen im HR München, HRB 166985

Geschäftsführer: Wilhelm Schröder

 

The information contained in this communication is confidential and is intended only for the use of the addressee. Unauthorised use, disclosure or copying is strictly prohibited. If you have received this communication in error, please delete it and notify us by telephone at +49-89-4613440-0, by fax at +49-89-4613440-10 or by e-mail at wschroeder@schroeder-equities.com immediately. Please note that this communication does not constitute and may not be construed as investment advice and / or referral to buy or sell financial instruments. Unless specified otherwise, the views expressed in this communication are solely subjective notions of the individual sender and / or the entity or individual stated as the author of any information submitted. Performance in the past may in no case be considered as an indication for future performance. Please also note that Schröder Equities GmbH and / or its officers or employees may have interests in financial instruments referred to this communication. A current list of shareholdings can be emailed on request. Furthermore, our clients are hereby informed that Schröder Equities GmbH renders advisory services to Nestor Australien Fonds, an investment fund administered by Nestor Investment Management S.A. Luxemburg. Please also note that e-mails can be intercepted by

AUSTRALIAN RESOURCES CONFERENCE invitation/registration - General - Evolution

Good afternoon

We would like to invite you to our 19th

AUSTRALIAN RESOURCES CONFERENCE

in Zurich, Hotel Baur au Lac, on the 21st of February 2020

Please find invitation/registration/participating companies under the link:  https://www.schroeder-equities.com/conference/

Registration –  without any charge – is essential

As usual, the companies are inviting, and the attendance is free for investors

2020 is shaping up to be an interesting year.  US brokerage Sanford C.Bernstein states, that resources stocks are at their cheapest vs the wider market in 100 years! We hope to present you with some companies, which should enable you to profit from this theme – covering a wide range of commodities from copper to gold, from gas to battery materials!

Please feel free to pass this invitation on to interested investors and colleagues. A detailed timetable will be forwarded to all registered attendees by mid-February.

And now to our usual update::

Equities are finishing the week on a quieter note, as are metals - largely unchanged including gold - and currencies, even though the uS$ is slightly stronger again. Not much action in bonds, either!

Nonfarm payrolls in the US increased by a few thousand people less than expected, and weekly hourly wages were subdued, increasing by 2.9% and a little less than in recent times.

Kirkland Lake had a record Quarter, driven by it´s fantastic Fosterville Mine in Australia, which produced gold from an average ore grade of 50g/t!!!!

Evolution - did not fare that well in the last Quarter!! The company announced raw production numbers of 171.000 oz in the Quarter, about 10.000oz less tha expected. Costs of 1069 A$ AISC / oz wre also a little high, leading to first half numbers of 362.900 oz at AISC of 1040 A$. Mind you - that equals about 710 US$/oz, and the number is still a varey good one - nevertheless, they represent a small disappointment. The only detailed numbers given were for Mt.Carlton . The previous star performer will only produce 70-75.000oz this financial year, at AISC of 1150 A$ - 1225 A$/oz - that´s 20-25.000 oz less than expected, and at costs about 250 A$ higher. Evolution will therefore have production for the current financial year at the bottom of guidance, about 725.000oz, while ( surprsingly ) AISC of 940-990 A$ remains unchanged. If they will achieve cost guidance especially, that will be a great effort for the next 6 month! The Mt Carlton downgrade is due to a narrowing of the orebody, which is occuring earlier ( = shallower ) than planned - and I guess will be a permanent change.

The large Cowal mine has been watched by investors for a while, as the major drought in New South Wales will potentially restrict access to fresh water for the mine. Evolution is countering these risk with an additional water pipeline, which will increase pumped water capacity by 30%. This project will be finished this Quarter. The company has also drilled a few more more bore holes, and more to follow, to permannently increase water capacity, which will be unrestriced. All additional water sources are from saline water - this could turn out to be a negative for costs. I would not suspect this to be a major issue, but it could add to already existing pressure on costs.

Overall - a small dent into what has been Australia´s most consistent producer over several years, but not a major drama. As I said above - if Evolution can fulfill it´s cost guidance for this year, I would regard this as a major achievement. The reaction in the market today has been fairly muted, as gold stocks were down 3-4% anyway….market does not seem to see a major story here as well.

Have a nice weekend!

WS

Schröder Equities GmbH

Seitzstr.7a

80538 München

Tel. +49-89-4613440-0

Fax +49-89-4613440-10

email: wschroeder@schroeder-equities.com

website: www.schroeder-equities.com

 

eingetragen im HR München, HRB 166985

Geschäftsführer: Wilhelm Schröder

 

The information contained in this communication is confidential and is intended only for the use of the addressee. Unauthorised use, disclosure or copying is strictly prohibited. If you have received this communication in error, please delete it and notify us by telephone at +49-89-4613440-0, by fax at +49-89-4613440-10 or by e-mail at wschroeder@schroeder-equities.com immediately. Please note that this communication does not constitute and may not be construed as investment advice and / or referral to buy or sell financial instruments. Unless specified otherwise, the views expressed in this communication are solely subjective notions of the individual sender and / or the entity or individual stated as the author of any information submitted. Performance in the past may in no case be considered as an indication for future performance. Please also note that Schröder Equities GmbH and / or its officers or employees may have interests in financial instruments referred to this communication. A current list of shareholdings can be emailed on request. Furthermore, our clients are hereby informed that Schröder Equities GmbH renders advisory services to Nestor Australien Fonds, an investment fund administered by Nestor Investment Management S.A. Luxemburg. Please also note that e-mails can be intercepted by

General - Prairie Mining - Osino Resources - Lucapa Diamonds

Good afternoon

equity markets are racing higher…fels like this could continue…Iran is all but put into the bottom draw!

German Industrial Production rebounded quite nicely in November

Chinese inflation is steadying…while producer prices are falling a little

A Bloomberg Index of consumer comfort in the US rose to a 19 year high

Pall and Plat are continuing their race upwards…while base metals are also stronger. Gold is down - but holding halfway ok at around 1548 US$…Brent Oil trading at approx pre-crisis level of 65 US$.

Osino Resources - announced some excellent drilling results from their Twin Hills property in Namibia - 92m with 1.4g and 37m with 2,58 g are probably the best tesults so far , accompanied by 68m with 0,99g, and show, that the geological understanding is improving. The company had some good rilling results before- but these are probably the best - 26 of 31 drill holes from Phase 1 and 2 drilling intersected significant gold mineralisation, and there is good continuity. The strike length was extended by another 400m too 1200m. This could be a sizeable deposit! The comnpany draws similarities to the managements last success, Otjikoto ( now very successully mined by B2Gold) - this one could be similar or better! I declare my initerest - but this one could be hot! Ross Beaty with his 20% shareholding looks like doing it once again!

Prairie Mining - finally some action? There is no announcement, except for JSW , which seems to plunder it´s rainey day fund for 700 mill Zloty - about 260 mill A$. Could this money be used to pay ut PDZ, or buy the company? The stock looks like closing at 0,80 Zloty = about 0,31 A$…on massive turnover of 3.6 mill shares just prior to the close of trading in Poland. I would love something to happen - we have been waiting so long and have been so unlucky in this one!

Lucapa - continues it´s history of finding 100ct+ stones in Angla, and also announced the find of an 80ct stone in Lesotho - both of gem quality. The market is still worried of LOM actually getting the money out of Angola - otehrwise I cannot explain the share price, even though diamond stocks around the world have been very weak last year!

Have a nice evening

WS

Schröder Equities GmbH

Seitzstr.7a

80538 München

Tel. +49-89-4613440-0

Fax +49-89-4613440-10

email: wschroeder@schroeder-equities.com

website: www.schroeder-equities.com

 

eingetragen im HR München, HRB 166985

Geschäftsführer: Wilhelm Schröder

 

The information contained in this communication is confidential and is intended only for the use of the addressee. Unauthorised use, disclosure or copying is strictly prohibited. If you have received this communication in error, please delete it and notify us by telephone at +49-89-4613440-0, by fax at +49-89-4613440-10 or by e-mail at wschroeder@schroeder-equities.com immediately. Please note that this communication does not constitute and may not be construed as investment advice and / or referral to buy or sell financial instruments. Unless specified otherwise, the views expressed in this communication are solely subjective notions of the individual sender and / or the entity or individual stated as the author of any information submitted. Performance in the past may in no case be considered as an indication for future performance. Please also note that Schröder Equities GmbH and / or its officers or employees may have interests in financial instruments referred to this communication. A current list of shareholdings can be emailed on request. Furthermore, our clients are hereby informed that Schröder Equities GmbH renders advisory services to Nestor Australien Fonds, an investment fund administered by Nestor Investment Management S.A. Luxemburg. Please also note that e-mails can be intercepted by

General - gold stocks - Panoramic - Resolute - Perseus

Good afternoon

markets are relaxing a bit, following some volatility last night in Asia. The Iranian retaliation was much weaker than could have been, and appears to me very much as a face-saving exercise - especially, if reports are correct, that they have warned the Americans prior to the attack.

German manufacturing orders start the year on a weak note.

Gold, which initially surged higher, is holding up well…trading just below 2300 A$/oz, which is record level and makes Australian producers look pretty sexy at current levels. My favourite and largest holding ,

West African Resources - despite it´s location in troubled Burkina Faso - is set to generate 300 mill US$ in it´s first year of operation, with a margin of a staggering 1000 US$/oz, before falling of. The pay-back period is getting shorter by the day, and production is getting very close. I am very excited to see their Quarterly later this month - looking at recent videos, they should be in production earlier than the planned June 2020. We are finally there! Succesfull comissioning should further rerate the stock. Very satisfying, when you have followed a stock for many years! With Evolution in the majors, West African in developers, and Tietto in explorers, I think there is good money to be made this year! These are my maine holdings in the sector, alongside Osino Resources in Canada.

Panoramic - after extending the takeover just before Christmas, IGO decided just after Christmas, to let the bid laps! Tactics, or frustration with little chance, to get Savannah? I guess the latter. Panoramic also announced the sale of their Canadian PGM-asset as planned - but to a different company. 4.5 mill Can$ will be received on cmpletion of the sale - I guess that might take a month or two - and 4.5 mill in three instalments. Good to have it done - even though in light of a massively rising Palladium price, it might turn out to have been a cheap sale. But it´s good to get the cash - Panoramic announced the other day, that the large diameter drilling for the ventilation shaft has hit bad ground conditions, again. I thought, that this shaft would be essentially needed to be finished by the middle of the year, to enable unconstrained production from the new ore body, Savannah North. But after speaking to the company today, I learned following: The ventilation shaft will be re-designed, which will take additional 3 month until Sept 2020, and will cost up to 4 mill$ more. But technically, this is not a major issue. Production could be affected - but only in a very small way, if at all. So this gave me much needed relief! I had originally been very concerned. The rights issue, which is fully underwritten, will close on Friday - this is probably also putting some pressure on the share price. I am only reminding you, that the largest shareholder, who is also represented by the chairman and owns about 35% of the company, did not accept the recent takeover, which valued the company at around 46-47ct. And last but not least, the Independent Report by KPMG valued the company at slightly more, without valuing exploration upside, with very little value attributed to the shareholding in Horizon Gold, as well as the Panton PGM project. So looking past all the current and recent hickups - I am still very convinced of my opinion, that PAN are worth a lot more today than the current share price does imply - setting completely aside, that the stock continues to be in play!

Resolute - announecd production numbers for the last Quarter today. Mako, their new aqusition, contiunes to do very well, as is the oxide circuit at Syama. The Syama roaster is now running at full capacity again, and the underground mine has delivered 400.000t in stock pile, ensuring a good Quarter . The company also states, that the Syama undergound mine is now fully comissioned,. If this is true, the stock is a buy….but certainly better to see this in numbers , once this Quarter is finished. In the meantime, the cash situation is quite tight - no room for many hickups!

Perseus - published video , showing that construction of Yaoure has started in earnest, and is in full swing. Production is planned for the end of the year, and all seems to be on track to achieve this.

Have a nice evening!

WS

Schröder Equities GmbH

Seitzstr.7a

80538 München

Tel. +49-89-4613440-0

Fax +49-89-4613440-10

email: wschroeder@schroeder-equities.com

website: www.schroeder-equities.com

 

eingetragen im HR München, HRB 166985

Geschäftsführer: Wilhelm Schröder

 

The information contained in this communication is confidential and is intended only for the use of the addressee. Unauthorised use, disclosure or copying is strictly prohibited. If you have received this communication in error, please delete it and notify us by telephone at +49-89-4613440-0, by fax at +49-89-4613440-10 or by e-mail at wschroeder@schroeder-equities.com immediately. Please note that this communication does not constitute and may not be construed as investment advice and / or referral to buy or sell financial instruments. Unless specified otherwise, the views expressed in this communication are solely subjective notions of the individual sender and / or the entity or individual stated as the author of any information submitted. Performance in the past may in no case be considered as an indication for future performance. Please also note that Schröder Equities GmbH and / or its officers or employees may have interests in financial instruments referred to this communication. A current list of shareholdings can be emailed on request. Furthermore, our clients are hereby informed that Schröder Equities GmbH renders advisory services to Nestor Australien Fonds, an investment fund administered by Nestor Investment Management S.A. Luxemburg. Please also note that e-mails can be intercepted by

General - Resolute- Apollo - Paringa


Happy New Year to everybody!

I am sorry, but will have to start
this with my favourite subject, Mr.Trump! It looks to me, that he has targeted
the right guy, and probably few people in the Western World have a lot of
sympathy for him…but I very much doubt, whether it has been a smart decision!!!
Not to talk about ethics….my little daughter asked me: How can Mr.Trump kill
somebody, and not go to jail like normal people? I fear this is a very valid
question, and one we should not forget about. The world seems to be changing to
the right of the strongest…going back to he medieval???? And certainly
interesting, in that context, to see Trump´s answer to the Iraqui descision, to
call all foreign troups out of the country! The country has been “freed and
helped” by the US…now the big friend is being asked out - and the big friend is
answering with sanctions and billion $ in payments???? Must be a really good
and selfless friend!

Gold and oil were the obvious
candidates to do well from this - but the muted answer in gold/oil stocks
shows, that probably /hopefully none of the involved parties have an interest
to go to war!

The Australian $ retreated today,
following some advance over the last two/three weeks. Economists believe, that
the terrible bushfires will take something like 0,1-0,2% off the GDP growth ,
and Iraqi comments, that Australia could be targeted as well, did not help
either. The A$ gold price of currently 2280 A$/oz is up strongly ( from
pre-Christmas level under 2150 A$ ) and very sexy - the all time high was 2289
in early Sep! Evolution , my old favourite in the larger gold space, is cheap
again under 4$!

Codelco might find it difficult to
finance the planned, massive 20 bill US$ capex over the next few years, as the
Chilean government will need all the money they can find to keep protesters
quiet. This could well impact their target, to keep copper production stable
over the next few years.

Resolute - have sold an additional 30.000 Oz
of gold at 1501 US$/oz recently. Not only, that they are under water already by
70 US$ - not all investors will like their hedging, consisting of 165.000oz for
delivery until Dec 2020 at just under 1500 US$!

Apollo Consolidated - reported further nice drilling
results from their Lake Rebecca Gold Project in W.A.: 19m with 3,4g and 14m
with 2,5g infill drilling, and extensions of 11m with 3,45g / 16m with 2g / 3m
with 8,45g and 18m with 1,37g are just what is needed to come out with a nice,
first resource estimate some time later this Quarter - it could well be
500.000oz or more at a nice grade. They seem to have a pretty good core of the
project, with good grades, surrounded by potentially a lot of tonnes at lower
grade, which could - combined - add up to a big resource,. They have some
interesting neighbours like Saracen in trucking distance - but this could well
be a large enough resource at some stage to go it alone. Drilling is
continuing, and they have just under 8 mill$ in cash. I declare a small
position in this stock.

Paringa - bad news has been coming to them
very steadily!!!! and here is more: The mine has ecountered more faults in the
coal seame, which have impacted mining and production of coal. The company will
probably be in a psoition of less than 5 mill US$ cash in the bank, which is
the required minimum agreed for the facility provided by Tribeca. The company
could well be bust - but there is a little bit of hope left. The risks are very
high though - stock is suspended and I guess might be so for some time at
least! Mother Earth is - unfortunately - always good for a surprise - the fault
had not been picked up by anyone beforehand….Impossible to say from the
distance, whether due to just bad luck or inability!



Have a nice evening!



WS